11/4 college hoops bets
Baylor vs Gonzaga o 155 -110 (DraftKings) risk .5u to win .45u Charleston -3.5 -102 (Fanduel) risk 1u to win .98u YTD 0-0
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The Diontae Johnson Story: A piece about hard work, opportunity, and redemption.
In the realm of fantasy football, it's crucial to separate fantasy bias from the true potential of a player. Diontae Johnson massively underperformed last season, but his value for the upcoming year should not be disregarded. Let's delve into reasons why, in the year 2023, Johnson is undervalued in drafts. Digging Deeper into the Numbers: While Johnson's mediocre performance in the previous season may raise concerns, a deeper analysis reveals what should be improved going into this year. Over the past three seasons, he’s produced a slightly below league average Contested Catch Conversion Rate and has been at best, a 50th-percentile receiver in contested catch and True Catch Rate metrics. And he did burn fantasy gamers last year. Posting the most fantasy points below expected in 2022, Diontae Johnson was targeted 147 times with 0 touchdowns. 147 targets was 8th!! in the league among WRs last season. There’s no doubt he’s been inefficient at times, but this discrepancy is ext...
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11/4 college hoops bets
Baylor vs Gonzaga o 155 -110 (DraftKings) risk .5u to win .45u Charleston -3.5 -102 (Fanduel) risk 1u to win .98u YTD 0-0
2023-2024 NCAA Betting Recap
I finally got around to reviewing some of my betting numbers from this past season, which I'm going to hit on here. I will say that this year was one of the most frustrating betting seasons in recent memory. Countless bets were followed by line movement in my favor and positive CLV, only for the on-court performance to be way outside of a team's norm. However, betting college hoops can be an absolute grind given the variance of three-point shooting, schedule factors, and a multitude of other reasons. Albeit small, I'm happy to have finished in the green across 276 bets being up 11.25 units. If you're interested in looking back at any bets, feel free to glance here . Yeah, I'm aware I stink when it comes to CBB totals. A few of those losses weren't even in the same ballpark as the final score and my projected pace. Props were also banned in Ohio midway through the season, so I wouldn't expect to see much of either next year. I did well betting sides, general...
Mid Majors Shmid Shmajors
The people are asking, "are mid-majors bad for college basketball?". Well, the short answer is no. Postseason parity is what makes this sport great. I don't care about how news outlets market mid major teams. If you want blue bloods in the Final Four, donate to their NIL fund and stop complaining. Get gooder. These games have great players, new mismatches/adjustments for great coaches to make, and most importantly lines to bet on. Hoot hoot 6:09pm 9 Florida Atlantic vs 5 San Diego State (-2.5) Every sentence I typed to intro this game sounded disgusting. Kind of like watching the Aztecs play, and that's coming from a defensive guy. They've given up an incredible 17% from three over the last four games. That's unheard of. Their ability to guard every position and pressure the ball often forces either contested threes or dribble penetration, where LeDee and Mensah have been a terror on defense. Florida Atlantic, on the other hand, shoots threes at an extremely...