Off Night

  Damien Harris Damien Harris is the quintessential zero RB drafters late round running back, and exactly why I love smashing wide receivers early in drafts this season. He’s slated to share backfield work with James Cook and Nyheim Hines. Honestly, I like all of these players upside and am happy walking away from a draft with any of the three. At cost, however, I like Damien Harris at his current range slightly more, and here’s why: Rushing Ability Before a hamstring injury last year, Harris outscored Rhamondre Stevenson, particularly due to his short yardage ability to score and create yards. After week 5, Rhamondre took over the backfield with 65% of the team’s RB carries through the end of the season. He was very good, and Damien Harris was hobbled by a thigh injury midway through the year.  If we look back at his 2021 campaign, however, Damien Harris was one of the top running backs in the NFL in Rushing Yards Over Expected (RYOE) and explosive run rate.  Harris is ...

In the realm of fantasy football, it's crucial to separate fantasy bias from the true potential of a player. Diontae Johnson massively underperformed last season, but his value for the upcoming year should not be disregarded. Let's delve into reasons why, in the year 2023, Johnson is undervalued in drafts. Digging Deeper into the Numbers: While Johnson's mediocre performance in the previous season may raise concerns, a deeper analysis reveals what should be improved going into this year. Over the past three seasons, he’s produced a slightly below league average Contested Catch Conversion Rate and has been at best, a 50th-percentile receiver in contested catch and True Catch Rate metrics. And he did burn fantasy gamers last year. Posting the most fantasy points below expected in 2022, Diontae Johnson was targeted 147 times with 0 touchdowns. 147 targets was 8th!! in the league among WRs last season. There’s no doubt he’s been inefficient at times, but this discrepancy is ext...